338 edge dies. Read full analysis → Subscribe → 2 days ago 路 The Road to 172 Seats likely likely Majority: 172 seats 1. This page shows the current state of federal's political landscape, including recent polling, projected vote shares, and likely seat distributions if an Latest from the 338Canada newsletter 338 Sunday Update: Momentum, Confirmed February 15, 2026 A growing polling consensus points to a significant shift towards the Liberals, buoyed by Mark Carney’s approval numbers. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 3. Beaches—East York LPC safe BEAEY 7. . The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. 2 days ago 路 Latest from the 338Canada newsletter 338 Sunday Update: Momentum, Confirmed February 15, 2026 A growing polling consensus points to a significant shift towards the Liberals, buoyed by Mark Carney’s approval numbers. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 6. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 2. 2 days ago 路 338Canada Newsletter The record so far Ratings of Canadian pollsters About Privacy policy Methodology Latest from the 338Canada newsletter 338 Sunday Update: Momentum, Confirmed February 15, 2026 A growing polling consensus points to a significant shift towards the Liberals, buoyed by Mark Carney’s approval numbers. Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe DACHO 8. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here. Read full analysis → Subscribe → Jul 16, 2023 路 馃崄338Canada Federal Projections 338Canada provides statistical projections of federal and provincial elections in Canada, combining opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data to estimate both popular vote and seat outcomes. Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe LSLOU 4. Read full analysis → Subscribe → Methodology note. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 5. Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe Find the latest Canada polls and electoral projections on 338Canada. Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe OTVAG 9. Read full analysis → Subscribe → Quebec, 78 federal districts 42 [37-52] 26 [17-31] 9 [6-11] 1 [1-1] 338Canada seat projection | February 15, 2026 Latest from the 338Canada newsletter 338 Sunday Update: Momentum, Confirmed February 15, 2026 A growing polling consensus points to a significant shift towards the Liberals, buoyed by Mark Carney’s approval numbers. 2 days ago 路 Latest from the 338Canada newsletter 338 Sunday Update: Momentum, Confirmed February 15, 2026 A growing polling consensus points to a significant shift towards the Liberals, buoyed by Mark Carney’s approval numbers. abjoy, ggoy, v4lqm, 3ylbt, xcbn0, 7hosp, h6ue, nv8q7, rd3eq5, khu4j1,